So if you see a seller on eBay that has 500 items for sale from every imaginable athlete and celebrity, that is a warning sign. It just means that the buyers don’t realize the items are fake when they get them.
By: Kelly Johns
These sellers often have very good feedback on eBay because they ship the items out fast and provide good service to take the focus off the fraudulent autographs they are selling.
When a well-known company has a strong reputation for dealing in authentic autographs, they will go to great lengths to ensure authenticity. On the other hand, when you see an unknown seller offering signed Michael Jordan jerseys without Upper Deck Authentication, you have to question the authenticity of that item. Remember, most of the criminals who were prosecuted by the FBI had tons of positive feedback on eBay before they were arrested. I have seen sellers who have multiple quantities of everyone from Joe Montana, to Britney Spears, John Lennon, and other autographs that are very tough to get. They even create their own holograms complete with serial numbers in an effort to appear as a legitimate seller. Companies like Upper Deck, Steiner Sports, Mounted Memories, ALLAuthentic.com and others have strong reputations when it comes to authentic autographs. That means more than 6,600 of the 10,000 signatures PSA-DNA sampled were forgeries. A legitimate dealer has to pay an athlete a good sum of money to sign things for them. This will save you a lot of time and money and you will end up with an item that is an investment instead of an expensive mistake.
Not all scenarios are as cut and dry as this one, but most of the time, if you put several elements together and look at the seller’s other items, you can determine whether or not the seller is offering authentic autographs. Big name companies who contract with athletes can tell you when the item was signed.
eBay is a prime place to sell fake autographs because most bidders are new to the market and don’t know how to spot a real autograph. Some bogus dealers trick customers by providing a Certificate of Authenticity from their own unknown company.
Kelly Johns is the CEO of ALLAuthentic.com Sports Memorabilia & Collectibles, the author of the best selling
sports business book called The Sports Formula, and the editor of the most popular online
fake autograph blog.
Study the seller and their other items closely before purchasing. Bob’s Sports Shack) with their own unknown hologram, the alert signals should be going off.
The solution is to buy from well-known companies who have a reputation for contracting direct with athletes.
Furthermore, if this seller is offering their own certificate (i.e.
Fake autographs on eBay are more prevalent today than during the FBI Operation Bullpen sting a few years ago. If you can’t tell that an autograph is fake based on the listing, you won’t be able to tell when you actually get the product in your hands.
Athletes charge for their autograph. It seems that this new generation of fraudulent sellers have forgotten how many people the FBI put in jail during their investigation.
The fictional company above (Bob’s Sports Shack) would not have access to Jordan and would not be able to get Jordan’s autograph without going through Upper Deck. Usually dealers who contract with athletes in this way will be able to tell you where and when the items were signed because it is in their best interest to document the signing. Usually all of the certificates are from the same unknown company which is another hint that the autographs are fake.
. Jordan has an exclusive contract with Upper Deck and he doesn’t sign for anyone else.
Great feedback does not mean that the seller is offering real autographs.
The industry’s leading autograph authenticator, PSA-DNA, claims that only 33 percent of more than 10,000 Tiger Woods and Michael Jordan autographs it scrutinized were real
Each day you can make one pick from a list of games that Covers.com chooses. Basketball and football include picking ATS (against the spread), which makes Covers.com the closest thing to actually betting on sports on this list.
Covers.com is a sports betting information website that runs a free streak style contest with a top prize of $100,000. It doesn’t take a lot of time and it is a contest that a smart sports fan has a reasonable shot at winning. My longest streak was seven in a row and my girlfriend had 11 in a row during basketball season. You do not have to pick everyday, but you must pick once every six days to keep your streak alive.
. If you get your pick correct, your streak goes up. See the table to the right for a breakdown of the prizes.
Many of the picks are not just picking which team will win. If you get it wrong, your streak resets to zero.
Only having the option of picking one game a day makes this contest one of my favorites. We have found that during basketball season it was much easier to find a good pick than it has been during baseball season.
The ultimate goal is to build a streak of 24 correct picks for the overall grand prize of $100,000. Other prizes are available for smaller streaks
You really need odds of at least 4/1 to win anything if the horse that you bet on places second or third. The reason being that the odds are often better than the favorite winning the race. Of course, this is providing that you placed a place or show bet. In 2 out of 3 races some other horse wins.
Thus, the question asked is if you should bet on the horse most likely to win? Sometimes the answer to this is “no”. Remember, that your horse only has to come in the first three in a six or nine horse race for you to come away with a profit. For this reason, I do not always place my money on the horse that is predicted to win. In a race with 20 runners you have a 1 in 20 chance of picking the winner. Often the odds on the horse most likely to win is poor. Look at the odds being offered and if they are better on the second or third horse, then go for it.
In order to win a horse race, you might want to predict the winner by using statistical calculations instead. Thus, place your bet around 20 minutes to race time.
In a race with only six horses running, you have a 1 in 6 chance of picking a winner. If the odds are less than 4/1, then I suggest passing such a horse race. And do not forget, the horse still has a chance of winning too. I suggest that you choose horse races with nine runners and 1/4 odds on the first three, or six runners with 1/4 odds on the first two.
If the horses just below the favorite have better odds, such as 4/1, 5/1 or better; then place your bet on those horses. Thus, you can see that the fewer the runners there are, the better your chances of winning. Thus, I suggest that you limit yourself to horse races with either 6 or 9 horses running to have the best chance of winning.
Why does the horse predicted to place actually wins so many races? Maybe because the favorite usually only wins 1 in 3 races. In this case a favorite will place almost 100% of the time..
As a general rule, the favorite will win about 1/3 of the time, but what is amazing is how often the favorite will place, especially when less than half of the field is 5-1 or lower. The key point: is stay away from horse races where there are lots of runners!
In my opinion, the secret of winning on the horses is to look at the statistics. As one can see, it often is better to bet on a horse you think is going to place. Of course, if you placed a win bet and the horse does win, then you will come away with lots of money. Remember, when you use this system, you are making your predictions on the odds. Therefore, it is statistically speaking, a bad race to bet on. However, bookmakers/tracks usually only offer poor odds if you bet place or show on such a horse. However, let us say that the race has just six runners, then you have a 1 in 6 chance of winning
They keep on — they’re pushing me and pushing me and pushing me until I break. And why not go to the top?” he replied.
“My feeling is, is that when I get on that stand it’s over for the defendant,” Dr. That — that’s what I’m talkin’ about. “…we had a great time. And– they were just talking about how they thought it was good for him to have safety at his house and to protect Bryan’s family,” she testified.
“She was the bankroll with the family. But I know what happened. And they say they found evidence in the strangest place — the bathroom Parker said he was using when Capnerhurst arrived. And I believed him, and I still do,” Brooke told Schlesinger.
Lindsay Mullins: Yes.
“This is a case about a man that was at the end of his rope who had a desire for money and a plan for violence,” Whitlark told the court. I mean, I had a gambling problem. What is the fact is the fact that Brian pulled the trigger and killed my wife. to help him.
“How much value is that evidence, do you believe?” Schlesinger asked Fedor.
News report: Deputies tell us there’s possibly multiple weapons involved… And I even mentioned to Jack when I got back, I said, ‘You know, Brett and Tammy were just as happy as I’ve ever seen ’em. And they enjoyed themselves.'”
To use his lawyer’s words, Parker has told the jury repeatedly that “he ain’t done it.” And now the jurors will decide if they believe him.
“What was on Brett’s mind, in your view, when he decided to go talk to the sheriff?” Schlesinger asked Jack Parker.
From day one, he has insisted to Brooke he is innocent.
“He wanted to clear himself. Valentine’s Day this past year, Zack came home. “… He says Parker’s big debts were actually no big deal.
There were more clues from Parker’s home surveillance system. And what he found, he says, shows the killings could not have happened the way Brett Parker said.
Except the prosecutors say Brett’s real problem was paying off all those debts. He brought me a Valentine’s card … He owed his father-in-law money. “Now anybody in their right mind isn’t gonna kill a mate that’s making all the money.”
“It’s illegal in state, yes, sir,” Parker replied.
Asked what the waiting was like, Libby Carswell told Schlesinger, “Oh my heart was just pounding. “There’s no doubt in my mind.”
“They can,” said Smith.
“The way we found the magazine and the bullets, they were right on top. The chaotic crime scene seemed to support his story.
But police say the case against Brett Parker was coming together. That there had been no infidelity,” Smith told Schlesinger.
“She was always thinking about the kids,” Leon said. he had a significant injury to his left arm,” Dr.
“We opened the body bag and … Tammy had investments and life insurance worth more than $1 million.
Fedor thinks Capnerhurst believed the answer to all his problems lay inside Brett Parker’s safe in the attic.
But the question is: why would Parker kill his wife and frame Bryan Capnerhurst? The prosecution says he had oldest motive in the book.
Brett Parker now had to tell his kids their mother was dead. That’s — what you do. “…people were drawn to it.”
Brett and Tammy’s daughter, Brooke, told “48 Hours” she saw Capnerhurst in the Parker’s house all the time, taking bets over the phone.
“You are a bookie, correct? “48 Hours” correspondent Richard Schlesinger asked Jack Parker.
“How long have you been doing it?” Schlesinger asked.
South Carolina is one of 33 states with a form of what’s called a “stand your ground” law — the kind of law that was widely discussed in Florida’s George Zimmerman-Trayvon Martin case.
“In South Carolina, Fedor explained, “if you’re accused of shooting somebody, they want the defendant to get on the stand and say, ‘I ain’t done it.'”
“About $21.3 was actually owed him -” Smith replied.
“I guess it is illegal,” Schlesinger commented.
“I believe that gun was placed there by Brett Parker,” Dr. “The sheriff’s a politician. The witness is Brooke, Brett Parker’s teenaged daughter.
“It was all over his hands, yes,” Smith replied.
Brett Parker may be innocent in his daughter’s eyes, but the judge sentences him to two consecutive life sentences, no parole.
Defense attorney Mark Whitlark: And matter of fact, if he had called you and said, “Look, I’m havin’ a problem,” you woulda wiped the whole thing clean for him, wouldn’t you?
Asked why, Dr. Grabs the pistol, spins around, and shoots many times at Capnerhurst. And one of those rooms was rented by Brett Parker.
But the prosecutors argue Brett Parker could have killed his wife for lust or money, because he owed over $170,000. He runs out past him, checks his wife. For now, they are living with Brett Parker’s parents, Linda and Jack.
Asked how much money was actually in the safe, Fedor told Schlesinger,” Couple hundred dollars.”
“He was tryin’ to con you?” Schlesinger asked Lott.
“How unusual would it be for the toilet seat to be up” Schlesinger asked Smith.
The surveillance camera was trained on an outside door of the Parker’s house, but police needed to know what was going on on the other side of the door, inside the house. All this other stuff that y’all are tryin’ to paint a picture of, paintin’ me out to be this bad guy is not true.
“Was there any scintilla of doubt in your mind when he looked you in the eye and said, ‘Dad, I did not do this,’ that he was telling you the truth?” Schlesinger asked.
“I did not kill Tammy. And I remember making a commitment to Tammy Jo Parker then that I would do her justice and get to the bottom of this and determine what the truth was.”
THE STATE BUILDS ITS CASE
Investigator Stan Smith and the rest of the Richland County, S.C. … He’d been tryin’ to set it up for some time. She was making approximately $160,000 a year, the goose that lays the golden egg, so to speak,” Fedor told Schlesinger. That’s all she had to hold onto,” said Carswell of her granddaughter.
But Lanny Gunter says Parker might not have needed all that money. and this one was much more sinister.
A NEW THEORY
911 Operator: Calm down for me, I need to know what happened, OK? Who shot your wife?
“For what?” Schlesinger asked.
The amount was a fraction of the $21,000 Capnerhurst thought he was owed.
“And as he had peeked out the driveway he opened the blinds before that and — and he had gunpowder on his hands,” said Smith.
Capnerhurst’s body lay nearby in the attic. No fingerprint. Our two responding officers who checked the bodies actually took the weapon out of — of Bryan Capnerhurst’s hand,” Smith continued.
“He told us when he gave him the gun he gave him the box of shells and the empty magazine,” said Smith.
911 Operator: I completely understand that you are very upset.
“What does that show you?” Schlesinger asked.
Luck Campbell: Your quote. I told ’em what’s happened in that house. The defense wants to convince the jury that Capnerhurst did. “If you loved my daughter, you wouldn’t have killed her, you could have walked away. And she was in an office area — and she looked like she’d tried to run -” said Smith.
But when the prosecutor cross examines Brooke, it does not go well.
Lindsay Mullins: He told me there was a room and I went there.
Brooke and her younger brother, Zack, lost their mother to murder and their father to prison. Brett sold medical supplies when he wasn’t taking bets and Tammy made a six-figure salary selling pharmaceuticals.
Tammy and Brett Parker
“What did you think of that?” Schlesinger asked Brooke.
“And the first body that you’d come across was that of Tammy Parker. Yet Brett Parker, the last man standing, was telling investigator Stan Smith he heard Bryan Capnerhurst shoot his wife.
“Started crying,” she replied.
“Absolutely. “I felt like, you know, after a while, that he was just tryin’ to con me.”
“I mean, I knew he didn’t do it. … “Just went through seeing my wife murdered.”
Brett told Capnerhurst to come over at 12:30 that Friday and home security cameras show he was right on time. How could you kill the mother of your children?” Caswell said. … That’s tough. But as Tammy is, she comforted me and she — she was the best. He had been eager to get his money. The prosecutor claims Parker was coaching his daughter about what to say … He owed about $25,000. Capnerhurst,” Schlesinger said to Fedor. They didn’t really need the money from his bookie business. I was scared. But even with all the evidence that Capnerhurst killed Tammy, police had to ask Brett Parker the obvious questions.
“We … … Marcus told Schlesinger.
Dr. It’s not that I was a gambler. So the defense will now say this was a robbery that escalated to murder. And now Jack Parker needed to be sure his son was not a killer.
“It scared me,” she said.
Brett Parker told police he had to kill his friend, Capnerhurst, or be killed. My f—–g fault I guess.
“She and Brett got along real well. Business was good and the police largely left the town’s bookies alone.
But this case was not going to be that simple. That’s seven minutes before Bryan Capnerhurst was seen arriving. I said, ‘Goddamn it, if you did this, you ‘fess up to it. Because it was very convincing’ on the stand. It was a constant scramble to pay the bills.
“He felt like if he could convince me, then — and if I believed him — then he wouldn’t be charged,” Lott explained. He was carrying a duffle bag that Brett told him to bring to carry the money. They seemed very happy together,” Linda Parker said. And now the defense decides the only person who can save Brett Parker might well be Brett Parker himself.
BRETT PARKER’S BIG RISK
Today, Brett Parker the bookie is making the biggest bet of his life: gambling a jury will believe him when he testifies in his own murder trial.
Defense attorney Mark Whitlark: OK, but you weren’t worried about that, were you?
“Because what did you think?”
“Can I ask why?”
“I’m not doing it just to help him. He never seemed, like, mean or anything, and he was always nice to us.”
Brett and Tammy Parker seemed closer to high society than the criminal underworld. It was pretty significant.”
” — uses the toilet seat,” said Schlesinger.
But despite all the pushing, Brett Parker sticks to his story.
“How much money was owed to him?” Schlesinger asked.
“It’s not a serious crime where we — dedicate a team of people to go out and investigate it,” said Sheriff Leon Lott.
Parker can use all the support he can get. … (weeping)
It is hard to watch.
Luck Campbell: You just testified to this jury twice in your examination, you saw your wife get murdered.
“I cut his hair for 20 years in my beauty salon,” Carswell said. I was in the room and I (sobbing) witnessed them talking about how he was giving a gun to Bryan. Just one week before the killings, Brett narrated home movies of a cruise he and Tammy went on with the kids. Marcus believes Capnerhurst would have dropped the gun as soon as he was shot in the arm. He’d not been paid in months,” Smith explained.
“He was gonna put his foot down. If wouldn’t have taken me five seconds to pull a pistol and shoot him,” he replied.
Brett Parker 911 call: I gave him the f—–g gun about a month ago. “I could not believe either one could do such a thing. I pounded him on his chest. If someone has a pistol pointed at your head, orders you up the stairs and you have to go to a safe, I think your life’s a little bit in danger. I said I saw my wife dead.
“I looked at him with sadness. Smith.
“What did you feel and what did you do when you heard the verdict?” Schlesinger asked Brooke.
In this case, it’s not enough to argue Brett Parker didn’t do it. And we immediately realized if you throw that over your shoulder, that’s gonna be mixed up down in the corner of the bottom of the bag. There was just a gaping hole in his arm so a significant number of those muscles were damaged. Bless her heart, she was tryin’ to save her dad. “What was his financial situation?”
“Are you glad you were there?” Schlesinger asked Brooke.
“I didn’t see how Bryan could do it. Everybody in the courtroom knows what Brooke has been through.
The gun powder residue showed that Capnerhurst could have fired the 9mm pistol that killed Tammy Parker. You twist. she was no dumb blonde.”
It is damaging and racy evidence that Parker was having an affair with Lindsay Mullins, his bank teller. looked at him in the eyes and said basically, ‘I don’t believe you. “It could’ve gotten there anyway.”
Prosecutor Luck Campbell: And what did you do once you go to the motel?
“We learned that Bryan had been very concerned about this meeting. Then the question was: who was standing there? It had to be either Tammy or Brett Parker.
The prosecutor is Luck Campbell.
(CBS News) On any Saturday or Sunday during the season, you can wager almost all eyes in Columbia, S.C., are on football. Don’t put us through a trial. He said, ‘I did not do this.'”
It looked like this case would be closed soon, with compelling evidence showing it was Bryan Capnerhurst who shot Tammy and was then shot by Parker in self-defense. Brett sees his wife lying on the floor … And it comes out in a cloud fashion,” Smith explained.
Lanny Gunter: I’ve never been worried about Brett.
The prosecutor asks Brooke to read a transcript of a recorded phone conversation she had with her father in jail. “He orders Brett Parker upstairs, back to the area where the safe is. She did exactly what she was driven to do,” Rikard said. Brett has on top of the safe, under a blanket, a pistol. Marcus told Schlesinger, “He would not have been able to have a gun in his hand at that — with that type of injury there.”
“What about Mr. 25. Police immediately noticed what was in his hand.
“By that time some red flags had begun to arise,” Smith told Schlesinger, “and I had some serious doubts about Brett Parker’s story. But within about 24 hours, police had a new theory … I don’t know what the verdict’s gonna be. Dave Fedor brought in Mark Whitlark as co-counsel.
“It was not good. That’s hard. Before he went, he called Brett’s father, Jack.
“To get all the money, not just the insurance money. And — how Brett had it made.”
Brett Parker is found guilty of killing both his wife, Tammy, and his friend, Bryan Capnerhurst. What they’re doin’ is not right. Don’t put me, your mother, your kids through a trial.’ And he — he said, ‘Dad, I promise you.’ Tears comin’ out. But here’s the question – will anyone believe her?
WAS PARKER STANDING HIS GROUND?
With Brett Parker’s murder trial fast approaching, Libby Carswell, Tammy’s mother, still could not be sure who killed her daughter. He talked about what a good mother Tammy was. His credit card was maxed out.”
Lanny Gunter: The debt that Brett had under his account was $100,000, $101,000.
Ben Staples: Brett.
Brett Parker: See, there — there you go twistin’ stuff again. That was the most important wound that — Mr. He was anxiously awaiting Bryan Capnerhurst’s arrival,” Smith said. And I … But before he did, he recorded a video on his cell phone asking his 13-year-old daughter and his 5-year-old son for their support:
Asked why, Dr. “But his name’s not Brett Parker, his name is Bryan Capnerhurst.. But Brett Parker’s thumbprint,” said Smith.
“Thirty years,” Parker replied.
On July 20, 2012, 97 days after the killings, Brett Parker surrendered to face two murder charges. Bradley Marcus, the medical examiner.
“It was– it was just one of those fly-by-night things. Gunter, who is serving time on federal charges for being a bookie, was Parker’s bookie. They think Brett killed Tammy, then shot Bryan Capnerhurst and placed that gun in his hand to make it look like Bryan murdered Tammy and threatened to kill Brett.
Four months after the murder conviction, Brett Parker and his father Jack were found guilty on federal charges of operating an illegal gambling business. I had him on my lap and he got up off my lap and he went out and started kickin’ rocks,” Jack Parker recalled, tearing up. Capnerhurst is standing at the stairwell with a pistol,” Fedor said. Never have.
“And was he covered with the residue?” Schlesinger asked.
There was no evidence that Tammy had fired a gun, so police concluded it was Brett looking outside. He says he told Tammy about his compulsive betting:
“He just told me he didn’t do it, and he would never lay a hand on her. And the guy orders him to open the safe. Brett, in the bathroom, told him to go on upstairs. She was murdered. Now that’s a new game in my repertoire,” said Fedor.
Investigators did find lots of gun powder residue at the crime scene, much of it on Bryan Capnerhurst.
Brett Parker stopped talking to investigators, but he started talking to their boss — one of the most powerful men in the county, Sheriff Leon Lott. That your evidence — does not match your story,'” Lott said. You — you twist more stuff than I’ve ever seen.
“Yes. He did it with the help of his parents.
Asked if Capnerhurst seemed mad at Brett, Jack told Schlesinger, “Not really. And I think he realizes he has a problem. owed a lot of money,” Schlesinger reasoned.
“He just said he was goin’– meetin’ Brett, I forgot what time, 12:00, 1:00, something like that,” said Jack Parker.
“$21,300?” Schlesinger asked.
“Right,” Smith affirmed.
“We ultimately processed it and got Brett Parker’s thumbprint off of it,” said Smith.
Brett Parker: I sat in bed. I didn’t see the actual event take place. I didn’t see how Brett could do it,” Carswell said. Police were in luck because the surveillance camera had a time stamp. They believe that the flash was caused by someone opening the blinds to peer through them for two seconds. Brett’s father, Jack, knew the sheriff and asked him to meet with his son.
The family went on frequent vacations together. And on his mother’s card, (cries), he said, ‘I lost a tooth.’ And he wanted us to send that card up with balloons to his mama. Brett’s mother, Linda, went along too.
So 14-year-old Brooke Parker takes the stand.
Marcus testifies that gaping wound on Capnerhurst’s arm shows there was no way he could have held onto the gun. And I drilled him like a drill sergeant,” Jack Parker told Schlesinger. No DNA. She was in court almost every day.
Sheriff Lott agreed to meet Brett.
Produced by Pamela Mason Wagner and Chris Young Ritzen
This case got even tougher to figure out when police learned that the second person found dead in the house, Bryan Capnerhurst, was a close friend of the families. He’d been shot four times. Kills Capnerhurst. Suffice it to say, given what Parker said he was doing, they thought the toilet seat was in the wrong position.
“No. Bradley Marcus performed his autopsy on Bryan Capnerhurst. Capnerhurst?” Schlesinger asked.
“It was important physical evidence,” said Smith, “it pushed the ball well over the goal line. That has nothin’ to do with it. Capnerhurst received.”
“No, sir,” said Parker.
But the prosecutors argued strongly that the “stand your ground” defense cannot be used in this case because, among other reasons, the killing took place where a crime — illegal sports betting — was being committed. affairs or debt and he indicated he was in a happy marriage. “She was very athletic. And that is the truth. The surveillance video shows Capnerhurst flung that bag over his shoulder – this will become critically important. But his lawyer, Dave Fedor, says Brett really has no choice.
Brett Parker: I did tell ’em the truth. Which he says can mean only one thing:
Evidence pointed to Brett Parker as the killer, but investigators needed more to make an arrest. Stan Smith.
Ben Staples | Parker’s accountant: She had $868,000 of life insurance.
“What is it now that makes you weep still?” Schlesinger asked Jack Parker.
Brett Parker is appealing his murder convictions. That’s the whole thing in this case. He really was. (Cries)
“She was very determined to succeed. That he had probably shot her. So — I think they were very compatible.”
Brett and Tammy Parker with their children
“It shows me he was — stone innocent,” Fedor replied.
Defense attorney Mark Whitlark: You didn’t have plans to run off or anything with Brett Parker, did you?
“I’ve never had a so-called alleged criminal go talk to the sheriff. Smith said. He was also friends with Tammy’s mother, Libby Carswell.
Campbell’s key witness is Dr. And without too much trouble, you can wager on any game you want because there is a barely secret, thriving world of illegal sports betting here. I remember talkin’ to him and he said that ‘Mommy’s at the doctor’s.’ That’s what he said. And then I knew somethin’ was wrong and bad. “So the next mornin’– we went and got the warrants for his arrest. “Brooke was very active in cheerleading. And by now they thought they knew why.
Capnerhurst worked three jobs, but never seemed to make ends meet. What happened to you that day?”
“People do snap, especially if they’re in debt or if they’re … I hope that you can stand up for me,” Brett said in the video message.
“Worthless,” he replied.
“He said his wife had run up the credit bill so bad that he couldn’t borrow $10,” Jack replied. So suspicion started to turn toward Brett Parker — the only person to walk out of that house alive. between he and a female indicative of an affair,” said Maj. It was more — I think [Capnerhurst was] more mad at his [own] wife than he was at anybody.”
Police also discovered why Capnerhurst had come to the house that day: Brett Parker owed him a lot of money.
“I told my grandpa that I remembered I was in the room, and they were having a conversation about it,” Brooke said.
Brett Parker: It’s a f—–g nightmare (crying).
“Yeah, I’ve been doin’ it a while, yes, sir,” he replied.
“Capnerhurst came in the side door. pulled the trigger and killed Tammy. Folks in that community are very concerned … His daughter, Brooke, was there watching when her father was legally branded her mother’s murderer.
Brett Parker: And as we — as we walked by the office, I could see — I could see Tammy’s feet stickin’ outta the bathroom. Remember how Capnerhurst flung his bag over his shoulder? Stan Smith thought it was odd that a box of bullets used in the shooting was found so easily inside the bag.
“But there’s a reason to check the veracity of his story,” said Smith.
Lindsay Mullins: Not at all.
“I just don’t believe that’s normal protocol for a male — to raise the toilet seat after he – “
“We wanna talk about the evidence, the hard, cold facts that prove Brett Parker had no other alternative in his mind but to set up the — the murder of his wife and frame his best friend,” Campbell addressed jurors.
It was a 9mm pistol, the same gun that killed Tammy Parker. Sheriff’s Department weren’t buying Brett Parker’s story about how his wife was killed by his friend, Bryan Capnerhurst.
He was hoping payday would be that day — Friday the 13th — when he went to the Parker’s home hoping to get $21,000 he said Brett owed him from the bookie business. So I think overall she was very happy with the way they were growing up.”
“How important was that evidence?” Schlesinger asked.
“The police investigation revealed that Capnerhurst and his wife had been talking the previous few days about $80,000 to $100,000 being in the safe,” said Fedor.
“He wanted to show me — his house and how it had happened. But yeah,” he replied. A minute or two later, Brett hears gunshots. Zachary was a typical 4- to 5-year-old boy, um, full of energy. He comes out of the bathroom, goes upstairs. we don’t really know if there is a gunman or a gunperson out there right now…
But to police, Bryan Capnerhurst was starting to look more like a victim than a killer and this was now a different kind of case entirely.
This is all playing out in front of Parker’s teenage daughter, Brooke. He was just working — not making much money,” Fedor replied.
The police tested for gun powder residue.
Jack Parker is appealing his gambling conviction.
“To let my dad know I was supporting him,” Brooke replied.
Luck Campbell: Did you think it was important to tell the police the truth?
“I’ve said from the very beginning it was a robbery gone bad,” said Dave Fedor, who has been called a legend in Columbia, S.C., where he’s been a lawyer for more than 50 years.
“The kids,” he replied. It was updated on July 19]
“She said, ‘Daddy gave Bryan a gun.’ I said, ‘How do you know?’ She said, ‘I was there,'” Jack Parker said. … I couldn’t.”
Prosecutor Luck Campbell: And who was the beneficiary listed on that one?
“It was a wonderful experience,” Linda said. And that’s when I called him and told him to turn himself in.”
“Uh- huh,” she affirmed.
Brooke has evidence she believes can help prove her father innocent. … …And then we went back downstairs and we sat at his kitchen table. So they knew these blinds opened at 24 minutes past 12:00. Remember, the gun that killed Tammy was found in Capnerhurst’s hand. From day one,” Lott said. In the way that he needed to use the toilet seat,” said Smith.
[This story first aired on Jan. “… had theorized at that point that he had killed Tammy Parker. “He was a very nice guy. She hugged me. … It was Brett Parker’s gun, but he has a witness who will swear she knows Brett Parker gave it to Capnerhurst a few weeks before the killing. I was there and I remember,” Brooke told Schlesinger.
“I took him in my bedroom with my wife. Was it Brett Parker, her son-in-law, or his assistant, Bryan Capnerhurst?
“We found a series of text messages … He was looking for a big payday,” said Fedor.
“Who in the world’s going to kill his wife just because he’s havin’ an affair? He wasn’t gonna run off with the young lady, as she testified on the stand,” Fedor told Schlesinger.
“Gunpowder residue comes from the firing of a firearm. “That meant somebody had fired a gun and looked out those blinds.”
Nobody knows if the jury believes Brooke’s testimony. And I’m not lying about that. “A number of shots. “I said, “You may have just saved your daddy’s life.'”
“Forty-three days later, and after 80 to 100 police officers were in there tromping all around,” Fedor said. They like the same things as far as sporting events and doing things together. Brett Parker: Never hurt her. The day after the killings, Dr. He’s a good one.”
“To see her up there on the stand. and he brought one to his mother. But that does not mean he is a murderer.
“He was tryin’ to con me,” the sheriff replied.
“No, sir,” Jack Parker replied.
Brett Parker: A friend of mine, Bryan!
“Well, there’s no reason to doubt him,” Schlesinger commented.
Police examined that box of ammunition.
But weeks had elapsed since the killings, and Dave Fedor, Parker’s attorney, did not consider the gunpowder residue significant.
Parker has to confront the sordid details of his life that are now public: his adultery and his gambling addiction. He’d see him up in the office. They had spent hours watching the video from Brett’s home security cameras. “The bone was broken. And naturally, he’s hysterical.”
Angela Rickard knew Tammy was ambitious as far back as high school where Tammy was homecoming queen.
“How do you con a sheriff? How do you con a politician?” Jack Parker said with a laugh. “Somewhere along the line he was back in my lap.
“We asked about … That is the fact. As it turns out, Brett the bookie, was betting his own money, lots of it, and badly.
Parker taught his son, Brett, the business and the two were known as honest bookies who always paid up. … Brett told Fedor what happened next.
Lanny Gunter: We would’ve worked somethin’ out, yes, sir.
Prosecutor Luck Campbell: Cause you would never do anything to hurt her.
“And lo and behold the results came back that there was small, round, lead particles on the blinds, which is consistent with gunpowder residue,” Smith explained. “It’s tough. It’s not that I had an affair. Marcus replied, “Because I’m very confident in what I do and I know what I’m doing in that autopsy room.”
“Brett has a problem. I didn’t tell him any different. But it was not a reason for murder, I promise you that,” said Jack Parker.
After almost three weeks of trial, the jury has its verdict in just over two-and-a half hours.
Brett Parker: I did not say that. She was caught on camera leaving a motel where rooms rent by the hour. “I got in his face. he discovered the blinds bein’ moved,” said Maj. So …” Brooke replied.
Sheriff Lott allowed Brett Parker to walk him through the crime scene.
Asked what Capnerhurst was like, Brooke told Schlesinger, “Well, I thought he was sweet. That’s what happened. I would never hurt Tammy. And I was shakin’. And she did. And he ran upstairs and said that Capnerhurst had a gun fixed on him and demanded that he go open the safe.”
They believe Brett Parker had lied from day one. And Brett Parker told investigators he gave that gun to Capnerhurst for his protection just one month before the shootings.
Defense attorney Dave Fedor thinks he can show a jury that Parker was just “standing his ground”– defending his home and had no reason to kill his wife.
“What were you feeling when you were being cross examined by the prosecutor?” Schlesinger asked Brooke.
“I was in the office, Bryan and my dad were discussing a gun that my dad had. And so I was baffled.”
Prosecutor Luck Campbell: And once inside, did y’all have a sexual encounter?
“We then immediately got a search warrant, went back, tested the blinds,” said Smith.
At first glance there was no apparent reason for Capnerhurst to kill Tammy; everybody seemed to like each other. They were on top as if they’d been placed there,” Smith explained.
Their two children, 5-year-old Zack and 13-year-old Brooke, also seemed happy according to Tammy’s friend, Angela Leon.
“Bad. Prosecutor Luck Campbell is pushing him and he’s pushing back:
“They said self-defense, and to protect the family, so he didn’t die,” said Brooke.
After Brett told his kids, a police officer talked to Brooke about what happened.
“I was scared,” she replied.
“Everybody watched this case. Jack Parker and his son were particularly successful at it.
A split-second flash seen on the video and it might be the key to solving this case.
“Is this a case in your mind where Brett Parker was standing his ground?” Schlesinger asked Fedor.
“He heard shots from upstairs,” Maj. And it– it happens,” said Fedor.
Even his lawyers say there is now no doubt Brett Parker was an adulterer. He began looking into Bryan Capnerhurst.
It is a big risk for Brett Parker. Marcus explained. He was gonna — he was tired of the — excuses. “He said he couldn’t get anything. If I didn’t know the whole case, what he’s sayin’ on the stand, I’d believed him.”
“He said to Brooke, ‘Had he not shot Bryan, Bryan probably would have shot him.’ Now that’s the exact words he told Brooke,” said Linda Parker.
Ten days after the killings, Fedor got a call from the Parkers asking for advice as police continued to investigate. And I believe, as I see it, the evidence proves it, that Brian … And then, 43 days after the killings, detectives saw something in a flash.
“We took his story down at face value and he gave us a written statement to that effect,” said Smith.
News report: 44-year-old Tammy Parker and 46-year-old Bryan Capnerhurst were found dead… this guy’s gotta show up, ’cause if this guy doesn’t show up, he’s got a problem.”
“Our deputies reported that he had been clutching a weapon when they got there. He wanted the money that he was owed,” said Smith.
Read More: When can a person “stand their ground,” using deadly force against an attacker when they feel their life could be in danger?
“Do you believe that he killed his wife and Bryan Capnerhurst to get the insurance money?” Schlesinger asked Staples, who was the family’s accountant.
“I remember when he told Brooke, and Zack was just 5 at the time. …They didn’t deserve this.”
“So do you feel at all like a criminal?” Schlesinger asked.
And when Tammy married Brett, his mother, Linda, thought it was a great match.
But the gentlemanly world of the local bookies suddenly had all of Sheriff Lott’s attention on April 13, 2012, when Brett Parker’s wife and his assistant were shot dead in Brett Parker’s quiet, suburban house.
Brett Parker answered all the questions and police released him that same evening.
“My lieutenant began to continue to study the camera from what we would think would be an irrelevant angle … Marcus told Schlesinger.
Spread betting, on the other hand, does not provide a simple win or lose outcome, but can provide payoffs based on the accuracy of the bet. That’s reflected in financial markets, where stocks and the British pound are relatively buoyant one day before the big event.
Betting is his way to get in on the drama because as a foreign citizen from China he will not have a right to vote. “This is a historical event, and I want to take part in it,” said Can Zhao, an investment researcher who last week placed a 135-pound ($198) bet on “remain” at a Ladbrokes betting parlor near London’s Kings Cross train station.
Betting exchange Betfair says it had taken 45.8 million pounds in wagers on the E.U. The referendum also outmatches the 35 million pounds placed on the 2014 World Cup Final.
The betting has also gained the attention of global investors as a gauge of the likelihood of an event’s outcome. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. presidential race, which was its previous record for a political event. That surpasses the 40 million pounds placed on the 2012 U.S. The industry is expecting 100 million pounds, or nearly $150 million, to be wagered by the time the result is known in the early hours of Friday.
Such betting fever is normally associated with major sports events, with people here habitually placing wagers online or in betting shops on everything from horse races to football matches. It has become increasingly popular, particularly to bet on financial markets.
For Stephen Jones, 55, betting is a form of insurance against disappointment. Ladbrokes has seen a tenfold increase in recent years.
E.U. But the importance, drama and uncertainty that have surrounded this vote have made it a spectator sport in its own right. That’s particularly true since pollsters have missed badly in measuring sentiment before some of Britain’s most recent votes, the last general election and the Scottish referendum.
The bookies’ odds have largely been in synch with global financial markets. Polls suggest it is too close to call, while bookies give the “remain” side a higher chance of winning.
Betfair allows people to place wagers against each other rather than setting odds like the traditional bookmakers. He intends to vote to leave the E.U., but has placed bets on “remain” to at least get something in case of his side’s defeat.
“This is comfortably the biggest political betting event in history and dwarves both the general election and the Scottish referendum,” says Lewis Davey, spokesman for Paddy Power, referring to the Scottish vote on independence last year.
LONDON — As if the stakes were not high enough in Britain’s nail-biting vote this week, people are betting record amounts of money on its outcome.
“If we are going to remain in the E.U., at least I will take compensation,” said Jones, who expects to get 3,000 pounds back in profit in such an event. “But my big win is to leave the E.U.”
Thursday’s vote on whether to leave the European Union, which will have lasting consequences for the country and Europe, is due to break the record as the most bet-upon political event in Britain’s history. vote as of Wednesday and expects a final amount of 50 million pounds.
Betfair, bookmakers Ladbrokes and Paddy Power and the Betting Research Unit at Nottingham Business School all estimate that the total value of bets on the vote placed in Britain will reach, and likely exceed, 100 million pounds.. While the polls show this week’s vote is too close to call, bookies like Betfair are giving the “remain” side a 76 percent probability of winning. All Rights Reserved. He was back in the betting shop this week to place additional wagers on behalf of three American friends.
Betting on political events used to be a niche area in the gambling industry but has become more widespread, particularly in Britain
You must work quickly. Get the cap level and straight with the tube.
Cut the PVC tube to desired length. See figure 3.
First, take a razor blade and cut a notch behind the sight so the piece can be removed. This one is eight inches.
Brace the gun in an upright position and dab the resin into the glass cloth with a stubby brush. Do this until the tube is completely full. You may want to ensure proper alignment by wrapping tape or placing a hose clamp around the extension behind the sight.
Next, grind the sides down about halfway, but do not grind past the point where the front of the sight makes contact. The glass should be wrapped about two inches behind the sight and up to the first hold on the tube.
Use a grinder and 80 grit sandpaper to smooth the hardening rough surface.
As soon as the glass is tacky to touch without sticking (times differs according to weather conditions and humidity), it is time to remove the piece from the barrel. Do not pull on the tube.. Drill a set of 1/8 inch holes down the length of the tube going in one side and out the other. Cut it down until the barrel fits easily and snugly.
Now drill a 1/8 inch hole in three place around the tube about 1/4 inch from the lip of the cap.
Unfold the sections of steel wool and roll between palms to make strands as shown.
Replace the inner tube and tighten it down with three small wood screws.
Then drill small holes all around the cap at the bottom, as shown, with a 3/16 bit.
Find a drill bit a little larger than the outside diameter of the inner tube. Then drop the drill rod down the inner tube to get a true center mark.
Clean the eyedropper with acetone.
Cut a lot of 1/2 inch square pieces of fiberglass matting and fill the cap with it up past the level of the small holes.
Place the finished cap and inner tube on one end of the PVC tubing that has already been cut to size. If you grind the rod too small, cut it off and start over. I operate the drill from the floor with my foot, letting the rod spin between my knees as I reduce the size. See figure 2.
Trim the inside tube down until it extends about 1/2 inch beyond the outside PVC tube.
Mix a small amount of resin and use an eyedropper to fill in any interior holes or air bubbles until the solid fiberglass is level with the steel tube end. Remove the cap and drill the hole.
Then place the drill rod down the barrel to keep the brake tube aligned. Duct tape is too thick and would make for an improper fit. Avoid getting resin in the opening where the barrel fits.
Grind off any inner tube that sticks out. Notice in the photograph that the holes begin 1-1/2 inches from the end of the tube that fits on the gun.
Replace the end cap with the three screws.
Sharpen one end of the drill rod to a point and use as a punch. make it flush with the face of the cap.
If the drill rod you purchase is a little too large, as sometimes happens, put it in a drill and using a file and sandpaper (80 grit), turn down the first six inches until it will fit inside the gun barrel.
Take the inner tube out and enlarge the holes in the cap to 3/16 inch.
Now mix the resin. This perfect alignment is extremely important.
After removing the gun barrel, peel out the tape and allow it to finish hardening. About a shot glassful will do. Don’t worry about any resin that leaks out around the base hole. Stand the tube up with the solid cap down. Keep dabbling until the cloth is no longer white but has become transparent from absorption of the resin.
Cut a 10-inch section from the brake line. The holes go all the way through. Check regularly until you achieve a perfect fit.
THE FINISHED PRODUCT
Paint the finished silencer black and attach it to your weapons. Center the inner tube as you look in the open end of the PVC.
Feed the strands into the silencer tube in a circular motion, packing the wool tight with a stick. If you let the glass harden too much on the gun, you will have to cut it off and begin again.
Your finished product is whisper-quiet, the way a silencer is supposed to be! It is inexpensive, effective and reusable for over four hundred rounds before you will need to repack.
Stand the glassed inner tube upright in a vise.
Wrap masking tape around the cap to cover the holes.
What you will need: Materials
7/32″ Drill Rod orWooden Dowel (hardware Store)1 Foot of 1.25″ PVC Pipe (Hardware Store)12″ of 1/4″ Brake Line (Auto Parts Store)1 Quart of Fiberglass Resin and Hardener (Hardware or Auto parts Store)1 Yard of Thin Fiberglass Mat (Hardware or Auto Parts Store)1 Roll of Masking Tape (Hardware or Auto Parts Store)1 1/8″ Drill Bit (Hardware Store)1 3/16″ Drill Bit (Hardware Store)Several Rubber BandsSeveral Single Side Razor Blades80 Grit Sandpaper (Hardware or Auto Parts Store)6 Small Wood Screws1 Box Steel Wool (Hardware or Auto Parts Store)1 Container of White Lithium Grease
Making it all work:
When the inside is hardened, turn the assembly over and add glass around the backside of the cap for added strength as shown. Resin fills the small holes, making the tube strong enough to take the blast when you fire the gun.
Drill a large hole in the center of one cap, making it large enough to fit on the glass end to the point where the sight makes contact.
Wrap glass mat around the gun and tube three times. Mix it two or three times hotter than the package directions.
Next, take a 3/16 inch drill bit and enlarge the holes. Secure it with string or rubber bands every half inch to keep it tight and in place. Stand the cap with the inside tube inserted into a vise. This will give the junction of the steel inner tube and glass coupling added strength.
Replace the cap on the open end of the PVC and drill three 1/8 inch holes around the cap as before for wood screw.
Mix resin and pour it over the cut glass to a point about 1/4 inch above the holes and allow it to dry before removing the cap from the vise. Use only masking tape. See figure 1. Fit must be tight with no play. Then push on the glass to slide it off. Move fast!
Using masking tape and keeping the tape as free of wrinkles as possible, mask off about six inches of the gun barrel and the end of the barrel
“It’s going to go down in flames,” said Chuck Humphrey, lawyer and author of the website gambling-law-us.com. 2 American Pharoah won his first race since taking the Triple Crown. subsidiary of Britain’s William Hill PLC. It could be as big as $3 trillion, nearly all of it illegal, he estimated.
(Reporting by Hilary Russ; Editing by Frances Kerry)
The tide may be turning, however.
“There is an obvious appetite among sports fans for a safe and legal way to wager on professional sporting events,” he wrote.
“It would be a huge economic boost to Monmouth Park and New Jersey and Atlantic City casinos,” Drazin said.
The state may have only one major league franchise bearing its name: the New Jersey Devils NHL hockey team. The leagues said that violated a 1992 federal law that banned the activity in all but four states – particularly Nevada – where it was already allowed.
Humphrey and others called the leagues “hypocrites” for blocking sports betting while actively investing in fantasy sports companies.
A decision is expected any day from the U.S. Whichever side loses will almost certainly appeal.
The NCAA said in a statement that “the spread of legalized sports wagering is a threat to student-athlete well-being and the integrity of athletic competition.”
Other states – especially Pennsylvania and Delaware, which are also in the Third Circuit – might immediately follow New Jersey’s lead if it won and begin pushing for broader sports betting, Wallach said.. “It will prompt swift action by other states.”
If legal sports betting spread, New Jersey could eventually grab about $10 billion of a national market that could be as much as $400 billion, said Dennis Drazin, an advisor to two parties involved in New Jersey’s Monmouth Park Racetrack, where on Aug. Betting also threatens the integrity of sports games by opening the door to price fixing, the leagues argued.
By Hilary Russ
| NEW YORK
But New Jersey faces long odds, according to some analysts. sports betting, resisted by professional leagues since they won a federal ban nearly a quarter century ago, could begin spreading around the country if the state of New Jersey prevails in a pending federal court case.
“Our long-standing position against the proliferation of gambling on NFL games remains,” NFL spokesman Brian McCarthy said in an email.
Americans bet $3.8 billion illegally on this year’s Super Bowl game, compared to approximately $100 million of legal bets on the event annually, according to American Gaming Association estimates.
“A New Jersey win will have immediate, far-reaching implications beyond its borders,” said Daniel Wallach, a Florida sports and gambling attorney who has followed the case closely. The NHL did not reply to a request for comment.
The NCAA, NFL, NBA and other leagues sued after New Jersey lawmakers legalized sports betting in 2012. They won that case as well, and New Jersey appealed.
New Jersey lost the case, but it tried again last year with new legislation that attempts an end-run around the federal ban – which prohibits states from authorizing, sponsoring, operating or licensing the practice – by essentially removing state control and deregulating sports wagering at casinos and racetracks.
So far, the NBA is the sole league calling for federal authorization.
Major League Baseball declined to comment. Globally, the market is at least $1 trillion, 90 percent of it conducted illegally, said Patrick Jay, who oversaw Asia’s largest regulated sportsbook as director of trading at the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
The park has already spent $1 million to outfit a sportsbook room through the largest North American sports betting operator, the U.S. In a November op-ed in The New York Times, NBA Commissioner Adam Silver urged Congress to adopt a federal framework to allow betting on professional sports, arguing that a state-by-state spread of measures like New Jersey’s would be bad public policy.
NEW YORK Legalized U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. But with an eroded casino industry and sluggish state economy, New Jersey has been pushing for sports betting for several years and carrying the ball in the legal battle while other states wait and watch.
Those venues would then be free to oversee their own sportsbooks under the latest bill, which the sports leagues also tried to block in court
Saturday. If you’re not going to be in Louisville for the big day, you can head to your local racetrack or off-track betting outlet and place a bet there.
You’ve got your mint julep and your fancy hat ready for the Kentucky Derby, but are you ready to place your bet on the horse you think will win?
Now it’s off to the races. The words “first, second, and third,” are replaced by “win, place, and show.” If you think your horse is pretty good but not going to come in first, you can bet that he will “place,” — that is, come in first or second. Horses with lower first number (10 and down) are considered top contenders.
Betting on a horse with good odds will not pay out much money if they win. Here’s a quick guide:
Exacta: You pick the two horses you think will come in first and second, in that order.
Trifecta: Pick the three horses you think will come in first, second, and third – in the right order.
Superfecta: You guessed it. What’s a superfecta anyway, and how do you bet one?
Here’s our guide to making sense of the Run for the Roses. You’re trying to hit the sweet spot: a horse with okay odds who you think has a shot at winning.
The favorite going into this weekend is California Chrome, with 5-2 odds. Good luck racing fans!. The Kentucky Derby is one and a quarter miles long, longer than any race these horses have run before, so the winner will need stamina.
Odds and Favorites
When you look at a race form there will be a number in parentheses after each horse’s name. He’s dominated all the races he’s run so far and all eyes will be on him. It looks something like this: Vicar’s In Trouble (20-1).
Horses with a high first number (like 20-1 or 50-1) are considered unlikely to win the race. A horse that goes into the race with 50-1 odds but comes in first place will pay out the most money to the bettor. Each horse will have a record of recent races he’s run, what place he finished, and how far ahead of the other horses he was. Or you can bet that he will “show,” — that is, come in first, second, or third. Give that a good look to see who’s done well recently.
Look for a horse that has won most of his races by a good length. That number shows what the odds are that the horse will win.
Picking a Horse
There are 20 horses in the field for the Kentucky Derby, though as of now only 19 will be running Saturday (#11 Hopportunity was “scratched.”) All the horses are 3-year-old male thoroughbreds, which means they’re young horses with lots of talent that is still developing and not a ton of experience.
Many casual bettors will pick a horse based on name or looks, but there are better ways to judge the odds for whether a horse has a shot at winning. For a superfecta you pick the top four finishers in the right order. If your horse comes in any of those positions, you’ll get money.
If you’re sure you’ve got the winner and you only want to place a simple bet for him to come in first, go ahead and bet your money that way. Conversely, betting on a horse with bad odds will pay out a lot of money if they do win. You can place your bet anytime up until about 20 minutes before the race goes off at 6:24 p.m. Therefore, betting on him won’t yield a big payout. If you’re in it for the thrill of victory alone (and not the money), he’s a good bet.
Betting on Your Picks: “I’ll take $2 to win on the four horse, please.”
In horse racing, you need to bet on what place the horse will come in. Say, “I’ll bet $2 on (horse’s name or number) to win.”
If you’re done with the beginner stage of betting, you can up your odds of winning by doing more complicated bets that yield bigger payouts: exactas, trifectas, and superfectas. Like it’s name implies, the superfecta pays out big bucks if you manage to get it right.
Like all sports, horse racing has its own language that can be confusing to casual watchers
They will, however increase the chances of a profitable day at the races by ensuring that your wager dollars go where they have the best chance of success. Let me let you in on a little secret about these “magic formulas”. Thanks for reading, and see you in the winner’s circle.
This causes the favorite to be under bet in the place pool, leading to a profit opportunity for us to take advantage of by betting the favorite to place. None of them work.
For instance, many speed figure handicappers reported making horse racing profits in the 60’s and 70’s simply by betting horses with the best last race speed figure. I was able to replicate this result in my own study of nearly 100,000 races conducted a decade later.
In that spirit. My computer studies of pedigree, based on nearly 100,000 races, suggest that using pedigree in that manner offers no advantage to the player.. My own studies have shown a similar advantage for the inside post in routes.
In fact, pedigree does not generally offer wager value with one curious exception: well bred horses do surprisingly well in maiden claiming races. Few bother to even look at the comment line for the race, let alone take the trouble to seek out and watch the replay of the race. This is another mistake that bettors make: in a race with a clear standout, many people give up on the win pool and bet their choice to place, thinking that they’ll get paid even if the favorite wins.
However, just because systems won’t make you rich doesn’t mean there’s no place for them at all in a horseplayer’s arsenal. The inside post combined with early speed is a particularly potent combination, since the horse will not have to exert himself as much to gain his preferred position at the front of the pack.
Horse Racing System #2 – Bet horses that have an excuse for a poor performance in their last race.
First time starters return only about 60 cents on the dollar, and second time starters are only a little better, returning less than 70 cents on the dollar. The horse with the best combination of the two is the play.
In the first place, the parimutuel takeout in horse racing is large (over 15%) and the mutuel pools are relatively efficient, so that even systems with a strong basis in reality can’t overcome the size of the takeout.
None of these systems will make you rich, or even guarantee that you will make a profit. Just don’t expect to quit your day job.
Nunamaker reported that the inside post in dirt route races won at a 20% greater than expected rate, and lost only 10 cents on the dollar, much better than the track take. It should go without saying that you should actually like the favorite’s chances after evaluating the race with your own handicapping.
Instead of blindly betting all horses breaking from the inside, you might use this to supplement your handicapping, paying particular attention to the inside horse, and betting it when you like the horse on other handicapping grounds. My study suggests that’s not the case.
Horse Racing System #4 – Bet low-priced favorites to place. This is somewhat counter-intuitive since you’d expect that horses with good pedigrees that end up in the maiden claiming ranks probably can’t run at all. To the extent that most handicappers use pedigree at all, it’s usually to identify horses that may improve when switched to the turf, or those who may be expected to win as first time starters. It must follow, therefore, that if we bet the best horse that has started at least twice, we stand an excellent chance of beating the takeout, particularly in races that have several first and second time starters.
Second, the very nature of the parimutuel system itself means that any profits to be made from following a particular set of rules will quickly be arbitraged away as the followers of that system drive down the odds of horses chosen by the system.
The horse with the best last race speed figure (whether Beyer, BRIS, or Equibase) may not be the best horse in the race, but he’s probably not far off, so we can use that as a proxy for selection purposes.
How do we identify the best pedigree, then? If you’re using the DRF past performances, use the stud fee as a proxy for quality, and the Tomlinson figure to judge suitability for the distance and surface. With the BRIS pp’s you can use the Sire Production Factor in concert with the pedigree rating. The inside post in turf routes actually showed a small profit, but this was based on a small sample size and cannot be relied upon. This system takes advantage of one of the few glaring inefficiencies in the parimutuel pools, namely that first and second time starters are badly over-bet.
For as long as humans have bet on horse racing there have been system sellers trying to con the gullible into parting with their hard earned money with the lure of easy profits to be made on the sport of kings. I’ve identified some of the most useful handicapping factors that have a proven history of doing much better than the track takeout and put them together with some simple rules that should make your trips to the racetrack more fun and profitable. In most case the public seems to take a horse’s last running line at face value. Most people who love horse racing would be thrilled just to win a little more and lose a little less on their trips to the track.
Look for comment lines like “bled”, “lost rider”, “clipped heels”, “stumbled”, “steadied”, “between horses”, “rank”, and “jumped shadows” that suggest that a horse’s last race was not indicative of its true ability. One of the few anomalies turned up by Michael Nunamaker in his pioneering computer study “Modern Impact Values”, published in 1994, was that horses breaking from the inside post position in route races won more than their fair share of races, and were under-bet by the public. If the tote board suggests that the public is overlooking these mitigating circumstances, make your play.
Horse Racing System #1 – In maiden races, bet the horse with the best last race speed figure that has had at least two career starts. Because speed figures have gained in popularity over the years, anyone following that system now would have trouble coming up with gas money for the ride home from the track.
Horse Racing System #3 – In maiden claiming races, bet the horse with the best pedigree. This offers opportunity to more diligent players.
Looking for a dead simple horse racing system that will allow you to quit your job and make a living betting the horses in just 10 minutes a day? Good luck with that!
Horse Racing System #5 – Bet Horses breaking from the inside post in route races